Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed551a1776c7a6248ed1d9051a3fde244d5245dac44c1255fb949e7ba715ce06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 11,286$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,468.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 70c | 8,114$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 25c | 5,185$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.78 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 4,926$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 77c | 2,725$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 22c | 2,074$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.74 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 1,938$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.67 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 32c | 1,567$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.81 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 31c | 1,284$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.83 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 1,239$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.88 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…8d68backed Yes | 35c | 1,054$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 676.07$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 575.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.7 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 571.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 449.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 24c | 416.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 16c | 410$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 31c | 390.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 19c | 368.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.82 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 34c | 339$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.74 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 77c | 338.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 277.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 77c | 266.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 77c | 210.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 78c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 22c | 196.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 77c | 181.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 27c | 106.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 35c | 95.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…971dbacked Yes | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked Yes | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 75c | 59.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 30c | 49.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd8…d57fbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 39.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 78c | 31.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…9a04backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…a9dfbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 28.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.