Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9e66441420de2097283f9c1cb2497c80a1374ed2a04929cda222f350b73c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 14c | 45,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 14c | 15,312$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 42c | 14,837$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.74 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 14c | 10,351$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.46 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 16c | 6,594$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…91dabacked Yes | 19c | 5,063$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 3,798$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.49 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…5c1fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,300$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 60c | 2,865$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.38 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…b8e3backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 53c | 1,991$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.77 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 1,300$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,276$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 1,152$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…7ef8backed Yes | 16c | 999.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 46c | 978.09$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 966$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 30c | 800$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 14c | 692.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 80c | 636.19$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 614.17$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.08 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 604.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 570$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 15c | 556.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 16c | 556.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed No | 56c | 428.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 390$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed Yes | 15c | 387.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 8c | 362$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 14c | 354.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 39c | 346.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 346.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…7ab0backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 19c | 263.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 252.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 68c | 251.32$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 66c | 231.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 31c | 220$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…d833backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 16c | 209.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 50c | 180.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 15c | 170.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked No | 54c | 149.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 14c | 108.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 70c | 105.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…2bfcbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 16c | 63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 64c | 51.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 40.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…714cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…a9dfbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…9cd3backed Yes | 59c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.