TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes52c40,000$20,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,339.9617349.1%85 W · 88 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No48c15,529$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,453.99450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No54c10,038$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.4825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes45c7,789$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.1612551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No54c7,511$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.5527453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0405253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c3,492$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.594,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c3,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45026147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No51c2,764$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.632729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c2,122$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.7827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No49c2,000$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.975616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No49c1,840$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.579459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No48c1,519$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No49c1,268$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.037653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c938$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes50c886.78$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3914244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No48c880$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.414621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No48c875$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes46c850$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c747.2$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.073,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No53c601.13$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31214854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes66c481.59$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.598858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No50c316.04$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.023444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes80c303.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.277363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15312917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1485440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c232$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No33c184.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf322…1cf1backed Yes50c175.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No49c157.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda58…b6f1backed Yes48c148.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes48c145.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No49c144.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes51c123$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2714540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc668…1e9abacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked No51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No51c77.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0517155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c53…0991backed Yes51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes53c62.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2129053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No57c61.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.078452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…6596backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad14…04febacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes52c57.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.174961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No48c53.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.639353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No49c49.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No50c47.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eca…4055backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2226645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Yes77c30.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b3…403bbacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…3e6dbacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a48…37b3backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes62c22.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.613969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5859…7aadbacked Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105940.7%24 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef72…118dbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef9…427dbacked Yes78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5226…3f8abacked Yes78c13.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.123100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.