Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3742abbbd6008a36a650fa0a85c330427c810fa561b1d06c2d12998cae2d9888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 4,335$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.13 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 39c | 2,036$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,399$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 65c | 889.15$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.43 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 21c | 649.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 482.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 329.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 37c | 253.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 33c | 126.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…20cabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 67c | 44.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…fbd1backed Yes | 39c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e04cbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfc…1a07backed Yes | 38c | 31.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will AZ vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AZ win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.