TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0e3…37fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$227.36
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.87
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$101.75
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will PSV win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+67.7%+$60.91
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+135.4%+$108.32
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will NEC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+76.3%+$203.01
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+74.1%+$237.18
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.9%+$99.82
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$218.72
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.86
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$37.22
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$24.94
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.58
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.74
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$68.07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.64
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$56.42
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$291.32
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+107.7%+$21.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$42.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.1%+$79.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$41.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.