Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba4e853561b471c6b0e7f0130a303f1e81dfe1610fb4498aec841707b820e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 34c | 16,493$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 8,728$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 35c | 5,089$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.36 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 4,969$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,792$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.41 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,641$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 35c | 1,604$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,436$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 1,326$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,186$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 762.29$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 35c | 657.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 2c | 621.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 473.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 472.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 34c | 295.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 34c | 282.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 247.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 20c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 66c | 159$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…7e96backed Yes | 34c | 152.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 66c | 151.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 126.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 37c | 123.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 38c | 87.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…d8dcbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…8e6bbacked Yes | 34c | 77.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…5a61backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 63.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 59c | 63.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 41c | 58.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 34c | 57.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…2da1backed Yes | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 35c | 54.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…55acbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 68c | 48.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…828bbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…feb2backed Yes | 35c | 42.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…2119backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…3cdbbacked Yes | 35c | 34.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…cf2fbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…5c0bbacked Yes | 35c | 28.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 51c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…5249backed No | 67c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8352backed No | 67c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…f6d7backed No | 67c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will AZ vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.