Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa966a11af297a6cb80128846f23e68e5146c355476da1938282c1a5b3ee275d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac44…fbd7backed No | 63c | 255,511$159,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,542.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 87,665$35,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,452.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 52,992$21,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,184.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 49,797$18,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,712.26 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 23,666$8,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,839.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 13,500$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 39c | 7,687$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 80c | 5,928$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 63c | 5,327$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.32 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 39c | 4,893$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.94 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,387$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed No | 61c | 1,776$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.43 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 37c | 1,068$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 971$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e9…c554backed Yes | 68c | 891.18$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 5c | 800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 31c | 705$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…f3febacked Yes | 62c | 639.51$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 567.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 74c | 540.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 39c | 528.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 10c | 500$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.7 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 38c | 494.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 37c | 473.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 67c | 448.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 15c | 416.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 348.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 70c | 240.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 43c | 233.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 60c | 195.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Yes | 37c | 193.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 46c | 192.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 61c | 156.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 36c | 139.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 40c | 120.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 75c | 106.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…90fcbacked No | 60c | 100.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…d120backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Yes | 39c | 91.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 70c | 65.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 43c | 63.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 34c | 59.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7fdfbacked Yes | 39c | 58.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked No | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 37c | 52.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…711fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 47.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 45.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…81e0backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…808ebacked Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…b277backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked No | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…6a71backed Yes | 62c | 27.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…9da7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…10f0backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Yes | 64c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will AZ vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.