Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f78ba537046f10984b2e5291f640b8cdaab63a7018787ad96c749e58bc07946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 53c | 25,634$13,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,992.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 14,756$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 14,563$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 12,812$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 9,138$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.72 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 8,785$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.64 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 7,779$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 7,162$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 54c | 6,181$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 47c | 5,085$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 55c | 3,340$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 3,333$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.33 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 45c | 2,852$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 49c | 2,682$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 2,677$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 2,256$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.49 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 2,077$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.21 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 47c | 2,062$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.62 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 47c | 1,879$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 29c | 1,586$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.93 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…02b0backed Yes | 54c | 1,483$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 54c | 1,379$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.14 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 55c | 1,266$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 1,178$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,171$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 54c | 1,042$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 25c | 999.11$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 977.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 53c | 932.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 46c | 930.19$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Yes | 55c | 893.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 49c | 886.63$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 55c | 870.93$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 854.42$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…3ea9backed Yes | 55c | 837.8$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 11c | 753$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 51c | 699.91$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.96 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 73c | 680.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 47c | 660.22$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.47 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 53c | 651.92$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 48c | 621.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 555.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 53c | 483.34$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 50c | 465$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 54c | 438$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 47c | 430.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes | 53c | 426.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Yes | 61c | 398.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 51c | 390.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 53c | 380.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 353.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 14c | 340.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 52c | 324.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 319$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…bf98backed Yes | 55c | 305.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 298.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 297.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed No | 23c | 288.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…9da7backed Yes | 53c | 288.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…d120backed Yes | 54c | 279.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 46c | 270.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 50c | 265.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…2229backed Yes | 52c | 252.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…916cbacked Yes | 54c | 232.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 211.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 52c | 201.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…8a4abacked Yes | 55c | 200.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 45c | 189.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 54c | 185.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 38c | 181.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cc74backed Yes | 54c | 168.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 60c | 150.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.