Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ccdcb161072aa75ad7e0257d7c9c35f7ca4cbce30fa958399bd52667195e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed No | 78c | 152,595$118,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,596.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 0c | 93,894$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 57,951$12,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,106.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 30,392$6,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 10,812$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 22c | 9,726$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.61 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 8,341$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.75 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 7,650$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.47 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,426$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,223$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 22c | 2,442$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 2,017$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 1,850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Yes | 22c | 1,254$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 1,164$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 22c | 904.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 23c | 829.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 22c | 800.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 23c | 775.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 766.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 22c | 733.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 531.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 77c | 519.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…b0a4backed Yes | 24c | 478.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 22c | 331.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 78c | 294.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 78c | 252.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 77c | 194.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 23c | 151.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 22c | 150.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 77c | 146$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Yes | 23c | 131.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 22c | 125.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 78c | 119$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 14c | 115.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 104.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…9da7backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 93.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 22c | 76.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 76c | 58.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked No | 78c | 39.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…8f9dbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40d…4813backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…02d3backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.