TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34c1…7d67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$197.83
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.17
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$441.19
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$235.5
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$379.65
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$69.35
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$122.27
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$189.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+89.7%+$140.64
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$194.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+55.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+124.5%+$281.37
Counter-Strike: illwill vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$260.45
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+67.1%+$276.53
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.7%+$130.14
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.4%+$231.98
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.9%+$104.33
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$88.9
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.6%+$160.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252.84
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$108.35
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$227.32
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$320.6
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$484.38
All 6 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Torpedobacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$439.47
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$378.64
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$246.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+132.8%+$92.41
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+63.5%+$184.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3)backed DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.4%+$332.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$281.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$486.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked Galatasaray Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$468.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.