CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a6e4463f7c7b7885eab8048d9f7dfa1ebf44cec636adc38da5f81204a9c2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALGO Esportsof ALGO Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed Lilmix | 37c | 1,860$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ALGO Esports | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed ALGO Esports | 62c | 685.39$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…c4aabacked Lilmix | 38c | 682.72$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa037…2b2cbacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Lilmix | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 275.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked ALGO Esports | 61c | 270.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ALGO Esports | 80c | 270.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 220.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Lilmix | 39c | 170.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed ALGO Esports | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…2640backed Lilmix | 35c | 144.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed ALGO Esports | 65c | 124.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked ALGO Esports | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Lilmix | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ALGO Esports | 65c | 41.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed ALGO Esports | 78c | 32.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…03acbacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)ALGO Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerALGO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.