CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a79cb4cbe276e4373df2b0b67564f8274600b9f6eb34bed53f5a103d0b5107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALGO Esportsof ALGO Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Lilmix | 51c | 361.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ALGO Esports | 68c | 286$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Lilmix | 5c | 278.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed Lilmix | 21c | 260$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked ALGO Esports | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…c4aabacked Lilmix | 29c | 167.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Lilmix | 61c | 163.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Lilmix | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…6a6abacked ALGO Esports | 69c | 48.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 70c | 32.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)ALGO Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerALGO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.