TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2273…6a6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$1,138.29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$45.41
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.13
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$141.99
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$77.89
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.5
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.6
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.04
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$124.24
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$64.99
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$46.22
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.3
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$475
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$11.3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.