Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5885c5397c50c8d8bbd238c381da33a991bef544e7315d1fd326b9a08e51a93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Shifters, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Shifters | 22c | 39,818$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.93 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 29,361$22,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.92 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Shifters | 0c | 27,755$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 24,425$18,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.82 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Shifters | 23c | 14,714$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.3 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 14,068$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.22 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 13,604$10,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.89 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 18c | 13,035$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.52 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 12,962$9,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.82 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shifters | 28c | 12,340$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.69 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 10,862$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Shifters | 20c | 10,012$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shifters | 28c | 9,781$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Shifters | 15c | 8,930$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.64 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Shifters | 30c | 8,821$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.39 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Shifters | 29c | 8,425$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.47 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shifters | 19c | 7,789$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.76 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shifters | 14c | 7,511$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.7 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Shifters | 26c | 7,266$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.2 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 7,197$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.13 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,893$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.48 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 21c | 6,310$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.13 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 6,169$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.46 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shifters | 17c | 5,916$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.21 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shifters | 21c | 5,749$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Shifters | 3c | 5,442$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 20c | 5,370$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.53 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Shifters | 29c | 5,282$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.57 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 5,192$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.87 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Shifters | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa816…2bc1backed Shifters | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 4,999$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.89 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shifters | 19c | 4,951$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.16 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 4,922$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.72 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 31c | 4,793$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.83 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Shifters | 4c | 4,704$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Shifters | 23c | 4,544$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.19 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Shifters | 9c | 4,458$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.53 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Shifters | 30c | 4,224$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.12 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Shifters | 20c | 4,050$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.09 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,962$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.22 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,804$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…7fbbbacked Shifters | 7c | 3,653$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 3,598$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.63 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 15c | 3,488$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.25 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,454$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.7 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,278$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.67 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,256$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.42 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,143$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.24 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,000$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shifters | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shifters | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,886$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.82 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shifters | 24c | 2,854$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.92 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,852$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.5 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,738$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.7 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 26c | 2,491$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shifters | 32c | 2,397$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.56 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Shifters | 16c | 2,300$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 143 | 27.3%39 W · 104 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shifters | 15c | 2,281$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,207$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Shifters | 10c | 2,190$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shifters | 5c | 2,124$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,076$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.02 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Shifters | 2c | 2,049$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Shifters | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,929$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,928$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Shifters | 12c | 1,759$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shifters | 24c | 1,750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters | 17c | 1,681$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,585$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.61 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,579$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.35 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,571$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,543$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.94 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Shifters | 19c | 1,539$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shifters | 25c | 1,528$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…c0aabacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 330 | 58.5%193 W · 137 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,403$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,394$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Shifters | 26c | 1,394$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.28 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 22c | 1,390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,380$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.42 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Shifters | 22c | 1,320$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,273$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 23c | 1,244$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,221$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.83 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,191$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Shifters | 11c | 1,173$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shifters | 23c | 1,161$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Shifters | 24c | 1,121$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Shifters | 23c | 1,080$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Shifters | 9c | 1,041$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 998.61$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.56 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 994.58$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 78cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.