Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a397f88b96064f9ff91cf6e6272a49ca6ebf7bd81e3db9fe560e35b79fab76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Shifters, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,400,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,483,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Shifters | 0c | 498,460$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.57 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Shifters | 38c | 50,462$19,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,425.68 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shifters | 20c | 35,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.92 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Shifters | 30c | 33,390$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,942.33 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Shifters | 22c | 30,505$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.1 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 27,494$17,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,173.93 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Shifters | 22c | 26,733$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.4 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 25,052$18,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.06 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Shifters | 10c | 23,896$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.04 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Shifters | 30c | 23,641$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.16 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Shifters | 36c | 18,833$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.07 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 18,041$13,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.93 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 16,939$11,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.76 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Shifters | 38c | 16,145$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.46 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 16,109$12,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.16 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Shifters | 27c | 14,127$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.75 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 13,178$9,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.67 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 12,779$9,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.27 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…5809backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 12,404$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 11,849$9,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.76 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,730$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.74 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 11,206$7,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.81 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,494$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Shifters | 37c | 10,162$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.44 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Shifters | 18c | 10,140$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Shifters | 7c | 10,120$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.63 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 10,039$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.54 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 10,010$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 19c | 7,742$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.18 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 6,991$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.41 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 6,809$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.96 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Shifters | 20c | 6,804$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 23c | 6,792$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.26 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Shifters | 23c | 6,677$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.62 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Shifters | 7c | 5,901$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…453cbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 5,582$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.18 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shifters | 41c | 5,577$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.56 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shifters | 39c | 5,487$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.76 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,463$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.69 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shifters | 39c | 5,253$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.35 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,234$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 5,061$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shifters | 18c | 5,000$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.13 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Shifters | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 4,939$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.11 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 19c | 4,880$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.13 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,755$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.25 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,750$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.99 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 4,013$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,972$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shifters | 22c | 3,901$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.27 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Shifters | 21c | 3,697$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.4 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,679$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.9 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Shifters | 18c | 3,595$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.08 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…7fbbbacked Shifters | 4c | 3,328$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,237$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.15 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 11c | 3,211$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.57 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Shifters | 30c | 3,152$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.17 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Shifters | 17c | 3,115$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…07a9backed Shifters | 31c | 3,067$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…23bebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,010$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Shifters | 15c | 2,939$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.05 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,905$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shifters | 36c | 2,878$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.87 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,875$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.19 | 311 | 37.6%117 W · 194 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Shifters | 13c | 2,860$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,759$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,731$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.85 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Shifters | 7c | 2,721$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Shifters | 21c | 2,652$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.11 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,633$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,598$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.09 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shifters | 30c | 2,554$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.12 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shifters | 30c | 2,539$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.31 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,384$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.82 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,339$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.86 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Shifters | 19c | 2,310$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shifters | 27c | 2,295$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.09 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,290$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.24 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,240$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.61 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shifters | 18c | 2,187$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,147$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.55 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,127$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.95 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,108$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.36 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Shifters | 2c | 2,097$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shifters | 27c | 2,064$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.66 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shifters | 11c | 2,039$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Shifters | 38c | 2,017$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,007$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 2,000$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.41 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…7663backed Shifters | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Shifters | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 27.3%39 W · 104 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Shifters | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shifters | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,988$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.39 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,804$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.45 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,770$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.06 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shifters | 35c | 1,730$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.43 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Shifters | 29c | 1,660$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.52 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.