TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91dc…7663

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$343
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.93
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$430.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$125.16
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$95.23
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.46
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,499.97
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.9
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.04
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,180
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$645.48
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.9
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$107.3
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.4
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.98
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$311.91
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,260
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$579.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,842.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.