NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd74c7499dcedc554470653bad1addbf1451297d021372e65734368817c0357f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,840,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,858,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 50c | 501,371$250,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,685.56 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 50c | 500,000$250,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Lakers | 51c | 499,999$255,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,999.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 49c | 420,000$205,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,200 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Lakers | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 238,039$118,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,040.95 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.97 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Thunder | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 49c | 37,803$18,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,523.56 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Thunder | 51c | 25,400$12,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,446 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 49c | 23,630$11,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,103.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 49c | 20,648$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Thunder | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.97 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 19,644$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,625.76 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 50c | 19,060$9,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,530.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Lakers | 52c | 17,257$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,953.71 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 49c | 17,000$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,670 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 50c | 16,528$8,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,264.18 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 47c | 16,369$7,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Thunder | 47c | 14,053$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.61 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 61c | 12,564$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.05 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 49c | 9,407$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.53 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Thunder | 60c | 8,392$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.16 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,300$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Lakers | 50c | 8,156$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 45c | 8,095$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.17 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 49c | 8,005$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.41 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Thunder | 44c | 8,000$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 46c | 7,595$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.35 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Thunder | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 48c | 6,944$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.87 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 6,578$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 34c | 6,394$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.15 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 48c | 6,263$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Lakers | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 62c | 5,773$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…7627backed Lakers | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Thunder | 54c | 5,574$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.62 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers | 64c | 5,440$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 50c | 4,608$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder | 63c | 4,414$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.58 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 67c | 4,094$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.55 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Thunder | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Thunder | 53c | 3,670$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 47c | 3,545$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.4 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 3,500$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Thunder | 49c | 3,423$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Thunder | 46c | 3,166$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.94 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Lakers | 52c | 2,937$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Lakers | 78c | 2,700$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 57c | 2,670$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.64 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,651$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.7 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 2,457$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Thunder | 22c | 2,420$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 53c | 2,277$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Lakers | 49c | 2,253$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.97 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers | 23c | 2,250$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.55 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Thunder | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.61 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,885$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.47 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 51c | 1,832$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.73 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Thunder | 49c | 1,815$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.59 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Thunder | 51c | 1,742$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,740$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.54 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 46c | 1,661$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Thunder | 64c | 1,646$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.23 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,529$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.58 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Lakers | 43c | 1,505$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,442$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.33 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd551…ef4cbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +700.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,400$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 51c | 1,370$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.63 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,236$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.61 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Thunder | 50c | 1,217$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.59 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.