NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d40e4173b05b79faf69ea77e5c1f8545af8ddbbdb39ccdcfa74b9aa9dcdd046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Over | 56c | 228,156$128,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,859.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 44c | 138,766$61,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,057.14 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 36,379$16,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,126.09 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 43c | 23,200$9,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,976 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 30c | 22,938$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.48 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 43c | 17,674$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.68 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 15,244$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.12 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 44c | 10,725$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.13 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…f9c5backed Over | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 7,550$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Over | 59c | 6,762$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.4 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 5,123$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 54c | 4,726$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.16 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 58c | 4,689$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.26 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 52c | 4,128$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.44 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 50c | 4,040$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 3,852$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 60c | 3,699$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 58c | 3,599$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.42 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Under | 58c | 3,003$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 56c | 2,907$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 2,858$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.45 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Under | 45c | 2,670$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 2,372$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Under | 26c | 2,363$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.33 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.38per pick | 45cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 47c | 2,359$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.24 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 2,319$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.94 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 58c | 2,200$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 2,094$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.42 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 68c | 2,074$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.49 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 2,072$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…b6dbbacked Over | 46c | 1,927$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 1,838$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 1c | 1,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Over | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 47c | 1,688$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.01 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 1,667$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.42 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 1,627$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.57 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…b9debacked Over | 52c | 1,528$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Over | 40c | 1,493$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 43c | 1,298$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.06 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 7c | 1,244$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 1,185$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 1,037$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 44c | 919.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.19 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 44c | 908.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Under | 56c | 899.99$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…20b5backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 30c | 676.12$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 649.29$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 42c | 608.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c03dbacked Over | 54c | 576.01$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 571.07$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 566.21$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 511.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 43c | 500.71$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 490.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 54c | 465.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 55c | 456.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 45c | 453.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Over | 44c | 451.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Over | 80c | 445.21$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 55c | 430.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 7c | 427.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 425.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Under | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 42c | 391.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 51c | 378.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 374$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Under | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 369.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 43c | 356.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 57c | 356.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 56c | 349.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 55c | 340.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked Over | 59c | 339.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 61c | 328.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 297.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 284.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.