NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29504d37495fa862779abb4567f5510be07808578147124c6dd25caffa443882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Over | 50c | 53,236$26,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,617.98 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Over | 49c | 33,577$16,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,124.26 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 24,971$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735.18 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 23,016$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,568.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 21,321$10,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.5 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 13,842$6,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776.26 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 7,775$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.06 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 7,050$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.83 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 50c | 5,604$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.94 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 50c | 5,008$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Under | 51c | 4,711$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.56 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 4,217$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 50c | 4,030$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.23 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Under | 51c | 3,952$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 51c | 3,902$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.97 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 51c | 3,877$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 49c | 3,360$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.4 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,067$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 51c | 2,368$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.68 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 52c | 2,310$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.44 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 2,008$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.92 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 1,742$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.42 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 62c | 1,698$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.33 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,500$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 1c | 1,437$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 52c | 1,305$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.6 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 865.7$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 22c | 799.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 793.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 51c | 634.71$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 591.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 28c | 549.61$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 15c | 461.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 395$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 51c | 326.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 311$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 64c | 309.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 52c | 263.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 50c | 249.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 74c | 235.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 234.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 29c | 176.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 156.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Under | 66c | 151.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 50c | 105.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 36c | 93.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 50c | 82.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 41c | 80.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 48c | 72.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Under | 69c | 63.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…9ff4backed Under | 50c | 55.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 53.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 43.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 42.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Under | 70c | 41.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Over | 51c | 41.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 50c | 36.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 39c | 35.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…b6e3backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 64c | 21.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.