TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x230f…9ff4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10555.2%58 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.83
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.26
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.62
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.32
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.68
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.71
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.51
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.66
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.55
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+281%+$37.54
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$43.16
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.61
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97%+$11.31
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.32
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$11.4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.99
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.1
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.9
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.9
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.14
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.51
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.82
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.89
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Wimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.65
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.5
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.42
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.7
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.86
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.38
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.69
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.34
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.