MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f34e8f5c4adb70b83c8463f84fa6985db6931a28df91a25bb6964c0b6ecd86b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 44,444$21,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,333.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 40,573$21,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,054.98 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 40,214$21,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,453.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 44c | 13,015$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.8 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 12,142$5,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,518.73 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 44c | 7,704$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.76 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 6,919$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,392$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 5,863$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 2,440$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 55c | 2,100$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.97 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 2,029$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.65 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 1,866$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,746$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 961.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 941$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.45 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 806.69$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.01 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under | 45c | 743.09$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 45c | 731.11$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Under | 46c | 705.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 700$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 661.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 44c | 658.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Under | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 581.68$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Over | 54c | 568$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 56c | 502.68$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 424.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 57c | 395.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 374.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 44c | 335.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 328.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 39c | 306.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 267.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Under | 12c | 265.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -13.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…da0bbacked Under | 38c | 265.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 52c | 227$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 46c | 226.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Under | 46c | 218.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 42c | 201.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 168.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 52c | 166.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 54c | 138.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 53c | 137.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 123.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 111.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 42c | 83.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Under | 44c | 78.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 55c | 72.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 48c | 67.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 56c | 64.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 62.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 44c | 57.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 56.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Under | 44c | 56.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 42c | 52.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 29c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 44c | 33.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 41c | 32.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 52c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 37c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…9ff4backed Over | 52c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 52c | 25.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…a9a4backed Over | 54c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.