TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under48c44,444$21,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,333.051,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c40,573$21,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,054.9811,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over54c40,214$21,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,453.094,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under44c13,015$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.829147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under45c12,142$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,518.7323538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under44c7,704$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.768633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c6,919$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.048,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c6,392$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.6112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over56c5,863$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.611952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c2,440$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.842860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over55c2,100$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.9723758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under47c2,029$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.6555053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over54c1,866$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.962,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,746$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.956,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over56c1,111$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.841,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over52c961.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6136048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over55c941$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.451,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c806.69$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.015,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under45c743.09$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.392227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under45c731.11$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32911454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Under46c705.95$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c700$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.48,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under45c661.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under44c658.75$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8541051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c581.68$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…e0e7backed Over54c568$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.282045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over52c519.23$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.238256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over56c502.68$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c424.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.912,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over57c395.37$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.012653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under44c374.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under45c355.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under44c335.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4728154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under45c328.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under39c306.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.522448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under23c267.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.375,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Under12c265.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5610142.6%43 W · 58 L-13.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x085e…da0bbacked Under38c265.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over52c227$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9612350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under46c226.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.423140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Under46c218.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.821,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under42c201.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.231,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c179.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5734942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under46c168.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.363,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over52c166.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7521550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.236857.4%39 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over54c138.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.084,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over53c137.73$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7834451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6234255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c123.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.042,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over55c118$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.15,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c111.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.731,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.927450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under42c83.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c7…2d60backed Under44c78.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.353345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over55c72.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.712,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fff…5495backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under48c67.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2746952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over56c64.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.921,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over55c62.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309146.2%42 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under44c57.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under45c56.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Under44c56.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under42c52.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2774657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2239440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1767444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.085044%22 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under29c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611,81349.1%891 W · 922 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c42.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Under54c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Under44c33.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.858050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over41c32.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9542047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over52c30.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8744553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under37c30.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x230f…9ff4backed Over52c28.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8345045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over52c25.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.127345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.064,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over52c23.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3987370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x343c…a9a4backed Over54c23.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.234846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3214750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.