MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc101854ac07d79a6861fb17e140550fbe892bd22ae924ad690192cb11f671b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 7,238$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.53 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 5,982$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.18 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,133$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.93 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 3,845$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.6 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,713$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.47 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 2,837$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,059$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.33 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,842$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,389$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 672.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 565.1$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 433.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 421.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 411.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 403$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 373.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…3653backed Milwaukee Brewers | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 292.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 237.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…9f7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 204.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 195.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 177.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 169$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…b6e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 136.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 117$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 116$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…8f74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…0f2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 108.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 189 | 55.6%105 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 107.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 103.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 91.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 226 | 57.1%129 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 90.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 83.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 79.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 69.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 67.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 64.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 44.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 40.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 40.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 40.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 23.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 22.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 228 | 53.5%122 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.