MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e14f76cfd2c3cbb06898a53933d966dc443b25aa7396f36b2183e16d26d965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 200,000$130,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,999.87 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 128,907$77,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,032.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 74,908$26,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,690.21 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 41,384$15,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,767.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 29,880$13,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,469.05 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 26,534$14,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,238.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 26,448$18,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 24,320$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 22,823$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 22,220$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,443 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 18,240$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,856 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 17,733$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,591 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 16,404$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 15,500$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 13,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,775 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 9,660$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 7,948$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.14 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 7,070$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,813$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 5,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.96 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 4,611$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 4,538$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 4,175$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 4,143$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.27 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,602$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 3,535$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.75 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 3,333$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,206$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 3,051$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.49 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 2,620$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.42 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 2,460$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,327$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.04 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 2,315$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.31 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 2,096$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 2,094$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,048$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 2,027$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,581$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.67 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 1,519$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,432$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,296$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 1,235$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,109$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.85 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,031$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.91 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,005$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.35 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 954.76$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 938$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 885.71$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 867.24$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.94 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 816.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.04 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 762.91$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 758.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 756.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 745$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 699.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 670.84$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 666.58$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 634$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 618.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.75 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 575.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 564.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.18 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 556.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.53 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 555.04$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 550$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 514$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 501.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 480.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 466.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 457$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.05 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 440$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 439.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.96 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 434.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 390.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 384.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.