MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb477ae770a67625d6897e52343b4adff5e4ec2d9b6dadd74d99ab7f1c157fb31

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof Cincinnati Reds, New York Yankees
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $291,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $305,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees	72c	86,827$62,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,949.93	884	46.3%409 W · 475 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	26c	47,779$12,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,236.18	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Cincinnati Reds	27c	37,235$9,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,898.13	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	24,952$7,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,181.01	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	13,533$3,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,924.65	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees	72c	10,801$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,024.39	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees	74c	6,896$5,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,826.22	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed New York Yankees	72c	6,625$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.9	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds	31c	6,619$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.66	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	6,469$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,875.89	186	48.9%91 W · 95 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds	25c	6,080$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa986…b4b5backed New York Yankees	72c	5,932$4,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.01	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	73c	5,039$3,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.63	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	4,899$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.31	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	4,356$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.78	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	71c	3,907$2,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.13	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	70c	3,548$2,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.56	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	3,527$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.62	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	3,038$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.34	520	45.2%235 W · 285 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…2de3backed New York Yankees	72c	2,917$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.85	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	75c	2,056$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.95	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees	74c	2,045$1,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.17	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees	70c	2,012$1,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.74	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed New York Yankees	72c	2,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	1,993$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.93	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees	68c	1,984$1,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.8	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	1,818$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.38	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	71c	1,661$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.68	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	1,193$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.48	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	1,162$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.27	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds	31c	1,134$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.2	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	28c	1,075$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	1,071$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.14	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed New York Yankees	72c	1,000$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.74	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	999.98$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cincinnati Reds	1c	994.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	475	4.4%21 W · 454 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds	17c	935.12$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.51	2,172	39.9%866 W · 1,306 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cincinnati Reds	21c	739.19$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.91	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	700$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.2	1,418	43.4%616 W · 802 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	699.98$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.99	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Cincinnati Reds	6c	697.83$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	20c	638.4$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.59	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked New York Yankees	80c	637.93$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.38	38	81.6%31 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	76cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cincinnati Reds	15c	600$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	381	33.6%128 W · 253 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Cincinnati Reds	28c	592.61$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.93	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Yankees	70c	571.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.43	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Cincinnati Reds	11c	518$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	517.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	504.17$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.17	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Cincinnati Reds	22c	501.71$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.29	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds	28c	500.01$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds	4c	421.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked New York Yankees	72c	416.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed New York Yankees	72c	416.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	129	57.4%74 W · 55 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	410$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	516	46.9%242 W · 274 L	-21.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked New York Yankees	72c	400$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked Cincinnati Reds	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees	70c	388.16$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.45	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees	80c	380.39$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.68	2,093	51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L	+44.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	378.05$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.63	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	370$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.4	1,326	44%583 W · 743 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed New York Yankees	72c	366.67$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.67	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	362.07$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	354.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	1,293	43.5%562 W · 731 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	351.72$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	465	46%214 W · 251 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees	72c	348$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.44	920	50%460 W · 460 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	344$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.59	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	397	39.5%157 W · 240 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	325.48$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.39	227	44.9%102 W · 125 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	303.56$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	406	45.1%183 W · 223 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	270$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	1,221	43.4%530 W · 691 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed New York Yankees	72c	264.5$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.06	175	40.6%71 W · 104 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6450…5300backed Cincinnati Reds	5c	259.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	251.37$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds	27c	245.22$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.71	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Yankees	71c	216$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.64	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked New York Yankees	72c	212.36$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.46	171	55%94 W · 77 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	353	53.8%190 W · 163 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Cincinnati Reds	30c	184.52$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	142	59.2%84 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	184.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	391	51.9%203 W · 188 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Cincinnati Reds	19c	176.53$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.54	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-8.0wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cincinnati Reds	11c	174.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	741	43.5%322 W · 419 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Cincinnati Reds	19c	159$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	292	42.5%124 W · 168 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Cincinnati Reds	28c	157$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	220	41.8%92 W · 128 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329f…3f5bbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	155.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	252	44%111 W · 141 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	671	43.2%290 W · 381 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	148.43$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfa…1542backed New York Yankees	70c	142.91$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.91	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4c…fc89backed Cincinnati Reds	30c	140$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	298	43.6%130 W · 168 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	29c	128.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cincinnati Reds	23c	125.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event