MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793636815c316b4ae7cc589827428ddfadd85bd969467bf40b63a96d58d271c6

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $323,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $323,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	47c	297,208$138,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158,239.35	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over	53c	103,773$55,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,999.69	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over	53c	86,661$45,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,930.29	358	54.5%195 W · 163 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	54c	54,545$29,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,249.85	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	18,925$10,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,168.33	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over	53c	11,500$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,080	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over	54c	9,259$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	4,098$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,207.06	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	54c	3,446$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860.75	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	47c	2,394$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.99	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	2,195$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.06	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	53c	1,800$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.99	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	48c	1,750$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.98	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	54c	1,740$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.6	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over	53c	1,001$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.8	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	53c	991$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.23	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	40c	710.12$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.65	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	46c	682.55$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.62	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	668.51$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.64	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	54c	632$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.37	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	33c	630.87$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.7	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	584.02$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.53	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over	48c	470.83$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over	55c	439.2$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.45	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over	53c	429.91$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.11	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	54c	367.5$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.45	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Over	56c	358.71$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.88	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	47c	332.56$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.06	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under	46c	325.26$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.52	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Over	53c	307.44$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.62	245	47.3%116 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd304…3ed2backed Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	46c	199.07$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.09	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	54c	194.44$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	46c	174$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.96	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over	56c	164.23$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	54c	160$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over	53c	146.8$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	44c	145.52$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	44c	127.09$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.21	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	24c	119.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8123…f127backed Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Over	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	48c	104.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under	48c	102.55$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.71	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Under	42c	102.5$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.5	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over	55c	96.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+7.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under	56c	90.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.73	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over	57c	87.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	390	53.6%209 W · 181 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	65c	69.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x973f…8592backed Over	18c	57.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	40c	57.26$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Over	55c	53.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.47	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked Over	53c	47.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	45.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3c…104bbacked Under	45c	44.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.56	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	45c	44.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.04	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over	55c	43.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	44c	39.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Over	55c	39.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	54c	38.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	36c	38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	65c	37.28$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.11	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under	53c	35.02$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.62	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-9.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3136…3544backed Over	55c	32.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over	50c	30.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	53c	29.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	55c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.1	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over	52c	28.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	304	52%158 W · 146 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	51c	28.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	55c	27.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56d…4928backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb5…051abacked Under	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over	52c	23.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under	46c	21.74$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over	55c	21.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	181	51.9%94 W · 87 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over	54c	21.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Under	55c	20.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	142	59.2%84 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	74c	20.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.31	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	55c	20.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	54c	20.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0d…10c1backed Under	62c	19.72$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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