TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3136…3544

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46.58
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.4
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$52.77
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.57
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$25.78
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$81.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$36.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.