MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6b967abc1ba56d4979b51f6918d5615bcb430cb3cccd678cd174c6428a9562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 34,894$17,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,795.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 13,990$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.21 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 10,118$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 6,922$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.33 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 4,301$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 4,236$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 3,316$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,143$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 2,726$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,449$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,410$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.9 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,272$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,141$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.05 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,687$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,500$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.19 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,087$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.24 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 970$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 905.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.64 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 820$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.98 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 672.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 521.66$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 480.06$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.93 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 403.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 398$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 365.03$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 242.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 240.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 235.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 227.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 218.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 170.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 166.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 163.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 158$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 148.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 143.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 141.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 134.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 116.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 112$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 110.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 110.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 99.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 72.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 71.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…3544backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 66.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 44.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 43.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 36.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 35.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 25.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…988cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 25.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 24.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 24.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…21f5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.