MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb735d67ec0d26547a913e3d29e3336c32b750d21808aa4d9179f3ba1c0e7034b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $823,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $846,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	208,475$127,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,029.9	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	43c	136,453$58,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,454.97	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies	55c	121,217$66,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,973.29	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals	40c	100,000$40,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,999.96	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies	60c	63,000$37,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,200	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals	38c	53,968$20,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,507.99	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Washington Nationals	40c	50,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	68c	33,435$22,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,609.58	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies	25c	25,571$6,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,106.39	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Washington Nationals	38c	23,000$8,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,739.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Washington Nationals	38c	18,534$7,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,043.07	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals	69c	16,755$11,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,528.07	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	39c	15,385$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.99	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	12,749$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,972.18	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals	38c	12,500$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,749.99	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies	34c	11,028$3,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,264.06	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Philadelphia Phillies	17c	9,167$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,622.38	87	29.9%26 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	62c	8,253$5,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,173.06	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	64c	8,206$5,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,286.42	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	8,000$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies	62c	8,000$4,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.98	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies	47c	7,447$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,946.81	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	72c	7,268$5,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,237.4	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	6,908$4,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.91	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	38c	6,489$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,495.75	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals	37c	6,000$2,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,219.97	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	5,835$3,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,273.55	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies	51c	5,665$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,765.16	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals	39c	5,530$2,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.69	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Washington Nationals	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	38c	4,785$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.26	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	38c	4,748$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.39	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	4,585$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785.06	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies	44c	4,434$1,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,468.82	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	67c	4,224$2,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,828.5	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies	18c	4,167$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,416.66	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Washington Nationals	37c	4,025$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals	38c	3,421$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals	36c	3,344$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.86	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals	77c	2,800$2,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,157	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies	34c	2,248$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.39	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,188$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.68	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,163$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.92	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	64c	2,136$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.43	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Philadelphia Phillies	47c	2,130$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.9	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	1,869$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.76	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Philadelphia Phillies	60c	1,736$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.4	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…1fafbacked Washington Nationals	39c	1,660$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.64	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals	35c	1,657$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.05	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.9	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…1acfbacked Philadelphia Phillies	62c	1,593$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Philadelphia Phillies	47c	1,553$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.19	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	42cpaid	-53%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	1,541$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.65	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Philadelphia Phillies	13c	1,538$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.46	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals	65c	1,527$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.27	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals	63c	1,464$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.96	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,410$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.1	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3dc…f04bbacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	1,400$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…9629backed Washington Nationals	38c	1,400$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals	38c	1,328$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.8	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	1,200$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Philadelphia Phillies	59c	1,129$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.81	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	52cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals	38c	1,111$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.18	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals	39c	1,093$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.93	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals	54c	1,079$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.76	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	37c	1,029$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.47	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e66…bbd2backed Philadelphia Phillies	36c	1,027$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.26	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.15	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Washington Nationals	50c	994.03$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.95	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	15c	941.18$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.98	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72f…58cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies	58c	921.52$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.04	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	61c	840$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.6	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals	39c	820$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.8	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals	45c	788.09$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.83	6,302	48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L	+181.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals	39c	758.7$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.7	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies	18c	750$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies	21c	734.4$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.65	369	32.8%121 W · 248 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals	39c	731.66$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.73	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed Washington Nationals	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-60%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Washington Nationals	41c	695.98$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	35cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals	41c	680.02$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.81	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Philadelphia Phillies	35c	677.52$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.85	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+26.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Washington Nationals	43c	647.33$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.93	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Philadelphia Phillies	33c	606.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.06	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies	61c	600$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.8	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Philadelphia Phillies	37c	593.62$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.71	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals	48c	569.27$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.94	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals	41c	559.51$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.17	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals	77c	551.98$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.48	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…2dafbacked Philadelphia Phillies	57c	533.74$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies	60c	533.48$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.39	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe112…ae59backed Philadelphia Phillies	19c	526.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Washington Nationals	39c	512.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals	2c	512.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1736…ffcabacked Philadelphia Phillies	57c	511.74$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.05	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event