Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba6dcbc4dc31666c976963431cc9427854685c759a1bc11aa73c44e72e5ac51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Over | 16c | 1,278$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…652bbacked Over | 37c | 541.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 10c | 465.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 15c | 341.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 49c | 141.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 30c | 83.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Over | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 61c | 64.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…3544backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 56c | 30.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 62c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.