Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffa874ce513aa1c0e91bbc286a70d019904e957d3ef6ae926679c99f7de07a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 434.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 325$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 62c | 148.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 12c | 132.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 79c | 92.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…cfa8backed Over | 69c | 82.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +13.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 20c | 79.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed Under | 38c | 79.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Under | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…71a1backed Over | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…7dc5backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.