Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb742c8b0deacfd07e2011ed6dc642305389e5f3505f8e8f61096b54054f72133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 43c | 1,292$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.67 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 43c | 425.1$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 56c | 423.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 179.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 85.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 57c | 80.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…2c05backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 54.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +10.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 39.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 56c | 37.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 57c | 28.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…225ebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9dcfbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Over | 57c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.