Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4a1d98f234c69e41658463617cc81462bd1f6f8564c7be1d9622127f006235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 5,320$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 42c | 3,378$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.63 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 2,780$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.84 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 43c | 2,330$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.3 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 1,788$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 1,382$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.32 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 1,312$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 55c | 1,141$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.95 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 1,031$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,014$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.61 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…04fabacked Over | 68c | 581.03$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.51 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 54c | 433$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 51c | 407$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 404.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 57c | 389.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 56c | 354.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 318.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 35c | 264.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 55c | 238.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 59c | 210.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 52c | 201.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 190.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 56c | 130.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Over | 68c | 112.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 49c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 73.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 73.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 56c | 73.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Over | 73c | 65.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 58.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 50c | 53.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 56c | 40.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 58c | 39.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 55c | 38.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 59c | 31.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 37c | 28.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 59c | 28.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 52c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 43c | 25.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.