Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1892fcbe6b7389d265a3b33a2c0aa3ac60f98b76d6729d2cf3b0f87ce852a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 42c | 1,582$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.1 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Under | 54c | 1,537$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 54c | 662.86$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 55c | 545.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 42c | 507.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.17 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 429.82$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 300.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 45c | 282.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 45c | 212.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 201.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 45c | 165$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 115.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 102.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 61.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Over | 44c | 57.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Over | 45c | 50.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…9c45backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 45c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 44c | 32.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 32.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 44c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerNorway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.