Spread: Germany (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad36c6664890ab84a877e81b74a123ea38741348e63047fff98444077791a91

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: United Statesof Germany, United States
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Germany	38c	13,241$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked Germany	36c	7,599$2,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,735.75	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed United States	64c	5,151$3,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850.52	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed United States	64c	3,485$2,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.97	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed United States	67c	2,474$1,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.86	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked United States	62c	1,614$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.64	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed United States	63c	1,600$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed United States	64c	1,552$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.59	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed United States	62c	1,007$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.29	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Germany	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed United States	63c	910$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.7	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed United States	64c	897.46$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.11	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed United States	55c	857.76$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.92	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany	30c	762.19$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.26	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed United States	63c	725.22$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.84	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked United States	64c	717.87$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.87	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Germany	36c	684.67$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.12	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Germany	38c	620.08$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.3	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Germany	37c	600.21$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.25	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed United States	63c	600$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed United States	64c	599.98$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.99	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Germany	16c	594.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed United States	62c	592$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.96	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Germany	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed United States	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	37c	480.72$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.87	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked United States	60c	416$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.4	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed United States	60c	416$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.4	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed United States	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed United States	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Germany	35c	347.23$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.53	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked United States	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked United States	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked United States	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf15d…0fa4backed Germany	37c	271.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked United States	63c	260$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.2	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed United States	63c	240$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.8	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed United States	61c	201$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.37	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Germany	57c	174.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed United States	63c	160$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.2	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked United States	63c	156$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.72	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked United States	63c	156$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.72	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed United States	63c	140$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.8	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Germany	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Germany	29c	136.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Germany	35c	122.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	136	43.4%59 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Germany	36c	116.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Germany	35c	107.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.35	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed United States	62c	107.05$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed United States	68c	104.25$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.27	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed United States	58c	102.9$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed United States	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	336	53.3%179 W · 157 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed United States	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked United States	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed United States	63c	99.97$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Germany	53c	92.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Germany	35c	91.18$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Germany	53c	89.28$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.32	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed United States	59c	80.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.03	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked United States	63c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed United States	66c	78.69$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.76	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed United States	63c	76.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Germany	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked United States	65c	75.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Germany	34c	73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Germany	42c	64.34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.12	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked United States	60c	60$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed United States	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked United States	58c	59.92$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	261	33.3%87 W · 174 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…9b0fbacked Germany	39c	57.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Germany	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Germany	38c	53.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked United States	62c	52$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Germany	21c	49.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Germany	36c	43.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Germany	53c	42.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…4c09backed Germany	37c	40.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+87.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3136…3544backed Germany	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed United States	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	234	53%124 W · 110 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed United States	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed United States	58c	39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Germany	51c	36.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	229	51.1%117 W · 112 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed United States	62c	32.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed United States	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed United States	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed United States	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked United States	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Germany	36c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked United States	61c	27.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked United States	63c	27.37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Germany	51c	25.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb4…f3a4backed United States	73c	21.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.86	59	76.3%45 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed United States	73c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.66	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked United States	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Germany	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed United States	65c	18.95$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.63	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed United States	65c	15.49$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)this page
Spread: Germany (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Germany won
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event