Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc134d179b7ee9649abc18b882abec611f54b3b4be27596567ad464bcbbff0d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 60,564$7,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 9,633$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 2,631$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 6c | 2,264$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 1,699$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 13c | 368.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 11c | 360.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 13c | 326.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 13c | 313.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 12c | 235.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 13c | 209.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…ad52backed Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Over | 12c | 97.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Over | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 35c | 54.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Germany won
- United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.