Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b0151f1bdf77772e0daec5309d788b3a219009077ebc85ad413a53fb8382dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 2,163$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 66c | 2,025$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.85 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,557$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.85 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 66c | 1,538$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.07 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 36c | 998.05$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 34c | 913.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.69 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 902.86$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.87 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 35c | 719.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 693.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 560.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 511.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 64c | 471.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 434.18$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 65c | 347.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed No | 35c | 339.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 65c | 302.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 244.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…9a75backed No | 35c | 243.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 227.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 65c | 173.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…99c5backed No | 36c | 114.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Yes | 75c | 99.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Yes | 62c | 81.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 79.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 34c | 70.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…7beebacked No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 37c | 60.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked No | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6f82backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Yes | 66c | 35.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 63c | 33.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 39c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…9cf2backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 62c | 25.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 198 | 59.6%118 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 62c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…4fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Germany won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.