Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadae4814a6a34cbfe3802927e62598bc6f19e44c07f1dd26cfce124d8675149f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb809…2004backed Under | 54c | 26,723$14,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,230.39 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 10,354$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.98 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 46c | 7,585$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 46c | 6,196$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 39c | 4,520$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.99 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 4,176$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 56c | 3,557$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.67 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 2,634$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.39 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 1,640$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Under | 70c | 1,411$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 48c | 1,321$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.17 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 46c | 1,162$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.4 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…1e7fbacked Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 59c | 980.36$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.19 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 926.03$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 71c | 778.83$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 678.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.91 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 662.47$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 55c | 643.86$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 49c | 614$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Under | 55c | 599.87$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 47c | 557.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 49c | 555.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.76 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 74c | 554.15$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 552.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 59c | 544.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 60c | 486.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 51c | 454.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Under | 55c | 430.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 56c | 419.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 35c | 393$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 54c | 376$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 42c | 374.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…0163backed Under | 54c | 343.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 35c | 340.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 59c | 340$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Over | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 47c | 319.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 309.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 309$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Over | 42c | 304.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 29c | 288.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 276.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 270.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 51c | 264.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 260$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 45c | 257.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 79c | 254$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 252.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 251.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 242.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…a6c6backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 215.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 52c | 205$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…57dcbacked Over | 49c | 203.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 201.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 52c | 200.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 53c | 199.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…6ab0backed Over | 53c | 182$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 58c | 163$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 155.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 71c | 146.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 144.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 58c | 141.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…e1bfbacked Under | 28c | 137.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c24ebacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 48c | 114.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 55c | 108.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Over | 58c | 104.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…69e7backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 100.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 95.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Germany won
- United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.