TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2e1…6516

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$13.14
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.16
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.05
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$41.9
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$44.5
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.01
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.75
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.53
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.55
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.99
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.05
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$32.28
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.36
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$13.28
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.39
Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.97
CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)backed CA Juventud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.