TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c8,004$4,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c7,535$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.588,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over38c6,711$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.6710446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c4,071$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.5610741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c2,593$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.821,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,842$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7611059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Under52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c1,156$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.561,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over50c1,019$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.2919952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over51c844.65$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.452,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c670.01$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.617049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under46c610.92$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.797350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c596.09$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c592$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.042369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c589.35$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4311551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c586.27$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c548.19$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.013,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under49c396.37$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.226031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Under50c393.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c343.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.511,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c325.44$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.115,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over53c273.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.618887.5%77 W · 11 L+19.9wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+42%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c184$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.432,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c183.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0531745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over55c181.72$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under46c158.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1515424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5276951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under69c145.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over51c139.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3415247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over31c125.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.55646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under28c113.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cd…c696backed Over53c99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x741a…ea3ebacked Under68c94.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over55c91.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.062944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under22c87.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over51c85.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.115244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under47c82.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over24c81.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.947554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c80.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.12,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over54c68.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7312754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over51c64.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over51c61.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2412945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c59.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…01fdbacked Under50c59.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Over32c59.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under60c58.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c56.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under52c53.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over38c44.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over41c43.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.243259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over59c42.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3718140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3123549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.556453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over40c38.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9820665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over51c37.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under62c37.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.984557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over53c34.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1672350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Under47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under50c31.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54456.7%3 W · 42 L-16.3wins-0.36per pick43cpaid-90.1%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under58c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5320958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under61c29.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.682669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under59c26.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6212755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under56c26.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8316759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Over53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d4…80bfbacked Over77c25.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.758821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7542462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over51c22.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1310450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c21.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.325866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under59c18.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.675141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over61c18.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.