TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x46cd…6b95backed Over43c658$284 inWon+$373.812340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over60c400$240 inWon+$1608343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over50c306.64$152 inWon+$154.5715424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over78c300.12$235 inWon+$65.0317251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under46c249.63$115 inLost-$114.887350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under22c205$45 inLost-$44.68821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c162.13$84 inLost-$84.078,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under40c150$60 inLost-$606657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over78c134$105 inWon+$29.481,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under56c100$56 inLost-$561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c94.3$52 inLost-$52.262,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over78c84.76$66 inWon+$18.6519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under22c71.79$16 inLost-$15.791,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over78c59$46 inWon+$13.112,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c56.61$31 inLost-$31.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c53.86$12 inLost-$12.293,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c49.18$11 inLost-$10.823,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under23c46.15$10 inLost-$10.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c40$20 inWon+$20.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over76c28.2$21 inWon+$6.913373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Over40c25$10 inWon+$151478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+54.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Over76c19.71$15 inWon+$4.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over78c18.59$14 inWon+$4.091735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be7…6367backed Over77c15.58$12 inWon+$3.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over69c15$10 inWon+$4.66453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.