South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6926185ef188778dc8175b46f15064a86aafa40632f51b97de6e4f341661c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 2,494$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,794$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 25c | 1,061$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 705.66$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.81 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 47c | 581.15$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Over | 55c | 577.93$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.05 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 75c | 562.92$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 383.3$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 57c | 302.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 298.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 43c | 241.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 50c | 224.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 72c | 205.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 53c | 163.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 62c | 162.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 18c | 153.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 76c | 138.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 75c | 110.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 78c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under | 20c | 96.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 95.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 11c | 92.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 57c | 83.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 39c | 62.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 64c | 53.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 55c | 48.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Over | 47c | 40.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 50c | 39.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Over | 57c | 37.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 35.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 65c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 67c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 67c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.