Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5938a66018fc0809ce330b55db048e676cb858a418cf25a19d98e8a5a7a37f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 3,636$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 72c | 1,693$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.48 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 43c | 1,090$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 290$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 47c | 252.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 55c | 228.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 16c | 226.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 9c | 148.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 91.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Over | 72c | 66.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 63c | 56.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 29c | 53.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Over | 35c | 52.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 49.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 28c | 45.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Over | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e018backed Over | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.