Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632083dbc8c8ffee7d5eb33e3a2281f5a206971b34914a0c60e417d026c109b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 55c | 1,648$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.93 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 1,147$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.21 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 939.91$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.75 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 725.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 54c | 723.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 53c | 511$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 54c | 450.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 54c | 411.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Yes | 48c | 393.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…ffcabacked Yes | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed No | 47c | 344.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 46c | 299.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 243.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked No | 78c | 240.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 49c | 211$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 7c | 195.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 23c | 150.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 74c | 139.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 61c | 77.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 73.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 21c | 60.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…378bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 54c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked No | 54c | 33.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 53c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.