Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c487f919c8f537adedd08e68eaba4815fe935d720e1055a5ab7a336a6925df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 57c | 10,980$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 44c | 9,404$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 1,992$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.53 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,525$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 10c | 987.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 57c | 806.74$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 55c | 361.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 12c | 346.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 306.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 306.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 302.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…10d7backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Over | 41c | 259.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over | 46c | 241.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 46c | 226.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 223.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 185.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 162.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 42c | 156$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 135.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 20c | 121.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 55c | 119.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 93.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 42c | 44.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 54c | 38.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Over | 34c | 30.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 42c | 29.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…372cbacked Under | 56c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 57c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Under | 57c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 72c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.