England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d86e693185f13d3aa7014e896816a815db795763d018681a893309e952d944

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,281 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	15c	4,897$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,139.01	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	17c	1,484$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.37	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	16c	1,460$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.4	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over	10c	1,071$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.09	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	16c	1,038$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.11	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under	52c	1,032$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.9	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under	13c	1,010$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.67	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	44c	862.22$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over	15c	673.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	12c	618.08$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.47	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	13c	554.32$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.6	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over	74c	501.79$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.25	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	73cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	52c	479.36$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.6	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	16c	446.69$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.93	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	77c	425.92$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.96	254	55.9%142 W · 112 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	9c	392.13$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.61	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	18c	391.03$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.69	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	13c	343.34$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.11	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	16c	333$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.47	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under	13c	323.83$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.86	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under	11c	307.78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.92	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	62c	300.83$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.09	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over	75c	300$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	47c	292.02$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.97	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under	7c	285.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.71	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over	74c	258.11$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over	67c	241.73$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.96	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over	50c	241$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.69	112	38.4%43 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	17c	240$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.2	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	14c	204.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.11	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	47c	203.36$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	14c	200$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under	14c	193.36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.37	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over	49c	192.16$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.16	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over	59c	166.16$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	14c	161.79$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.55	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under	17c	160.51$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.45	178	27.5%49 W · 129 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over	38c	154.59$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.37	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f72…e1bfbacked Under	61c	140.16$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.05	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	37c	138$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.47	222	58.6%130 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under	55c	137.97$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.41	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	14c	129.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.63	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6f…8887backed Over	71c	115.09$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.79	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	69cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	45c	110$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over	35c	107.09$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.07	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Under	11c	105.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.76	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	62c	104.7$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.71	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under	68c	102.33$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.25	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	63c	101.13$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.9	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under	13c	99.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	49c	98.12$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	14c	96.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.24	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over	63c	87.78$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	148	66.9%99 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	12c	86.14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.8	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	24c	83.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under	75c	66.47$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	224	21.9%49 W · 175 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	39c	58.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.61	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Over	63c	55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under	19c	53.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1c…3d69backed Over	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	73c	48.9$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.24	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	65c	46.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	70c	45.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under	39c	43.43$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.65	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Over	47c	40.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over	59c	37.81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a38…068ebacked Under	31c	31.81$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over	68c	29.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	57c	27.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	61c	19.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x93aa…5270backed Over	73c	17.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	71c	16.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5this page
England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: England (-1.5)New Zealand won
Spread: England (-2.5)New Zealand won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event