Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbcfe76bab2399b65954d52a0cb85d38c67fccf7184ba8220bfd7642123c82b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof England, New Zealand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed England | 50c | 40,168$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed England | 48c | 27,881$13,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,391.08 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed New Zealand | 50c | 25,547$12,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.09 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…170fbacked England | 49c | 10,227$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed New Zealand | 51c | 7,549$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.36 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked New Zealand | 52c | 6,500$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed New Zealand | 49c | 5,852$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New Zealand | 48c | 5,286$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked New Zealand | 52c | 5,171$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Zealand | 52c | 5,162$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked New Zealand | 50c | 5,085$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.64 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed England | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Zealand | 49c | 3,923$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked New Zealand | 49c | 3,686$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked New Zealand | 53c | 3,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed England | 49c | 3,079$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked New Zealand | 53c | 2,754$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.38 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed England | 51c | 2,319$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.59 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed New Zealand | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed New Zealand | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.83 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed New Zealand | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked New Zealand | 53c | 2,000$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.19 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed New Zealand | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed New Zealand | 53c | 1,610$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.56 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked England | 55c | 1,524$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.85 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked England | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed England | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked England | 50c | 1,355$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.3 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed New Zealand | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed New Zealand | 51c | 1,301$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New Zealand | 44c | 1,162$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New Zealand | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed New Zealand | 51c | 1,099$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.25 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed New Zealand | 48c | 1,034$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New Zealand | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.24 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed England | 52c | 1,004$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.68 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed New Zealand | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked New Zealand | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New Zealand | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked England | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New Zealand | 49c | 941.76$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.51 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed New Zealand | 57c | 758.05$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked England | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked New Zealand | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed New Zealand | 52c | 562.48$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked New Zealand | 50c | 510$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed New Zealand | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked New Zealand | 46c | 507.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed England | 52c | 500$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed England | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Zealand | 57c | 488.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed England | 51c | 486.25$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New Zealand | 56c | 468.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed England | 54c | 458$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Zealand | 62c | 424$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed England | 48c | 401.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed England | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed England | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed England | 52c | 386.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed New Zealand | 54c | 377.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed England | 50c | 364.21$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed England | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed England | 53c | 345.83$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked England | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed New Zealand | 66c | 314$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked England | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked England | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed England | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed New Zealand | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed England | 14c | 288.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked New Zealand | 50c | 286.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked New Zealand | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed England | 51c | 277.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…9b03backed England | 50c | 273.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed England | 47c | 269.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New Zealand | 55c | 263$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked New Zealand | 51c | 262.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed New Zealand | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed England | 49c | 238.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed England | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed England | 53c | 221.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed England | 49c | 212.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked England | 48c | 209.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked New Zealand | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed New Zealand | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked England | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed England | 45c | 196.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked New Zealand | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed New Zealand | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked England | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked England | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed England | 41c | 144.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked New Zealand | 59c | 142.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked New Zealand | 63c | 140.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New Zealand | 60c | 128.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked New Zealand | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked England | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New Zealand | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed England | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New Zealand | 58c | 116.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-2.5)this page
- England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)New Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.