Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e6596262f9750463198cb9de07e7531608ba5411707332e0c9541d8f95f8540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 6,363$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.97 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 78c | 2,120$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.67 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 1,711$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 73c | 1,207$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.89 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 1,052$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 73c | 910$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 20c | 724.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 12c | 519.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 27c | 438.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 8c | 416$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 28c | 356.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 353.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 80c | 341$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 20c | 305.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 10c | 252$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 27c | 248.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 203.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 11c | 203.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 73c | 156$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 26c | 152.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 33c | 150.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…0a81backed Under | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 23c | 101.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 80.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 68.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 72c | 60.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 25c | 53.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 26c | 40.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 34.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 78c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5703backed Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 74c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 77c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5this page
- England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: England (-2.5)New Zealand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.