TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d4e…6478backed Over59c9,032$5,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,328.398728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under65c8,644$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.382737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under46c5,263$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.8539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c4,141$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.4512146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over50c3,232$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.1244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over13c2,667$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under44c2,386$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.682626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over59c2,205$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c1,974$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.92,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over19c1,915$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8811238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under42c1,683$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.821946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c1,654$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.4659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under59c1,569$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.398949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under55c1,275$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57729030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under39c1,261$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c1,225$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over63c1,132$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.417943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over29c1,123$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over14c1,089$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9428545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over59c1,011$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.297943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Over68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9915742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over56c999.97$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.993818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over67c952.16$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over2c833.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under44c754.85$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.1437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c748.68$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39621747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under50c719.1$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.563759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over56c713.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over56c710.04$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3210157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over56c707.71$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.328058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over33c626.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under39c536.63$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.121,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over57c525.4$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under48c508$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1611440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under39c501.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.479456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under42c470.64$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.974647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under40c430.75$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8360752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over56c426.22$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.817057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over58c381.43$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1314146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over64c369.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.791,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over60c365.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.592,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over41c359.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over56c356.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5423363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c355.5$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over69c350.35$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over69c350.35$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under40c345.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under34c302.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c262.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over59c255.25$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.062,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over61c253.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.391,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over62c250.66$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c244.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c236.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over65c232.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.996744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over59c227$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13319047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over55c224.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7310050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Under79c219.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.62176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under67c207.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4612154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.926047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over68c204.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9310142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under32c202.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9823820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c190.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0450833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over65c188.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3213253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over71c188.59$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.824057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over61c187.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.064949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over50c187.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.398643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over63c181.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over52c176.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over57c174.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7472…c267backed Over15c167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…4db1backed Over60c164.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.231338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over17c160.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.570948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Over64c156.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over64c155.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over59c151$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.096453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Under55c150.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.966048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c145.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.042,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over58c145.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4137451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under44c141.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6234122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over63c140$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.863,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under37c138.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6622951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3387…66adbacked Over60c131.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under37c124$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over65c122.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8519944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Under69c122.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.172138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Under43c115.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c113.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over21c112$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5218431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over43c109.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1930836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c109.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.