TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c2,450$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.131,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over43c1,010$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.31844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c904.54$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Under63c800$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.495819%11 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c780.33$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c748.96$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under58c740$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.660752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under58c517.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4316153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over42c481.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c433.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.081,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c361$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under59c351.24$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under53c265$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under55c245.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.558549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over39c243.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0617535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5216547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c228.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Over50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003366.7%22 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over39c159.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under55c152.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.597954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under53c152.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under56c136$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Under61c127$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0717227.3%47 W · 125 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over57c120.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3325455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c117.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over42c117.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4110050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c113.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over45c109.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over47c102.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1613253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.953839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over48c94.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under59c88.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1512252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4222449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c64.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.131,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over41c63.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over57c61.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8137458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over45c58.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under60c56.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3115543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over46c52.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249754.6%53 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…5a88backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253138.7%12 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c51.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c51.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.172,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under52c51.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under59c48.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over57c47.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9620561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c47.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under53c43.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3111238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c41.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over59c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.422052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over44c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5923453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under57c38.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.520968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under48c37.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5245248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over71c35.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c33.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over71c32.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under65c32.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c32.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.190840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Over48c31.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Over41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Under65c28.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under57c28.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.139463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over42c27.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.673412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over45c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.323552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over58c18.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9726047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.