Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95c8972e4352c2e243b16b9ae10dc5f6de75a305995e1df1068ae485444e909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 1,104$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.28 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 614.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 545.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 78c | 512.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 498.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…3ec7backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Under | 31c | 442.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Under | 4c | 390.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 71c | 299.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 299.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 23c | 274.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 251.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 31c | 204.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 78c | 203.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 78c | 192.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 144.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 75c | 132.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 117.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 24c | 109.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…6a87backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 74.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 30c | 63.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 69c | 52.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 30c | 44.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 29.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked Over | 78c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 70c | 14.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5this page
- Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.